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Who Will Win the FIFA World Cup 2026? Early Prediction After the First Round of Matches

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The FIFA World Cup 2026 has already delivered drama, surprises, and unforgettable moments after the completion of the first round of group-stage matches. With powerhouse nations making strong statements and underdogs proving they belong on football's biggest stage, fans worldwide are asking the same question:


Who will win the FIFA World Cup 2026?


While predicting a World Cup champion this early is never easy, the opening matches have revealed which teams look ready to lift the trophy in New Jersey on July 19.


Top FIFA World Cup 2026 Favorites


1. Argentina – The Team to Beat


Defending champions Argentina have started their campaign in impressive fashion with a dominant 3-0 victory over Algeria. Their blend of experience, tactical discipline, and tournament mentality makes them one of the strongest contenders once again.


Argentina know how to win knockout football, and that experience could prove invaluable as the tournament progresses.


Chance of winning: 20%


2. France – Built for World Cups


France looked dangerous in their opening win against Senegal. Although they faced resistance early, their attacking quality and squad depth remain among the best in the tournament.


With world-class talent across every position, France are perfectly equipped for a long World Cup run.


Chance of winning: 18%


3. Germany – The Most Impressive First-Round Performance


Germany sent a warning to the rest of the world with a stunning 7-1 victory over CuraƧao. No team looked more ruthless in attack during the opening round.


If Germany maintain this momentum, they could become the biggest threat to Argentina and France.


Chance of winning: 16%


4. England – Finally Their Year?


England defeated Croatia 4-2 and showed the attacking firepower that many fans have been waiting to see.


The biggest question remains whether England can handle the pressure of the knockout rounds.


Chance of winning: 14%


5. Spain – Still Among the Favorites


Spain's goalless draw against Cape Verde was one of the biggest surprises of the opening round. However, tournament favorites often start slowly before finding their rhythm.


Their technical quality and possession-based style still make them serious contenders.


Chance of winning: 12%


Dark Horse Teams to Watch


Morocco


Morocco continue to prove that their 2022 World Cup success was no fluke. Their draw with Brazil demonstrated they can compete with the world's elite.


Norway


Norway's convincing victory over Iraq showcased their attacking potential and growing confidence.


Canada


Canada's remarkable 6-0 win over Qatar announced them as one of the surprise packages of the tournament.


Why This World Cup Is So Difficult to Predict


One of the biggest stories of World Cup 2026 has been the rise of underdogs. Spain were held by Cape Verde, Portugal drew with DR Congo, Belgium drew with Egypt, and several traditional football powers struggled to dominate their opponents.


The gap between elite nations and emerging football countries is smaller than ever, making this one of the most open World Cups in history.


Final Prediction: Who Will Lift the Trophy?


After analyzing the first round of matches, current form, squad quality, tournament experience, and tactical balance, my prediction is:


šŸ† FIFA World Cup 2026 Champion Prediction: Argentina


Argentina possess the perfect combination of experience, confidence, attacking quality, and winning mentality. They know how to navigate difficult knockout matches and have already shown they can handle the pressure of defending their title.


Predicted Final


Argentina 2-1 France


Predicted Golden Boot Winner


Kylian MbappƩ (France)


Predicted Surprise Team


Canada


Predicted Biggest Dark Horse


Morocco


Conclusion


The first round of FIFA World Cup 2026 matches has confirmed one thing: this tournament is wide open. While Argentina, France, Germany, England, and Spain remain the leading contenders, unexpected results have shown that anything is possible.


If current trends continue, Argentina appear to have the strongest chance of becoming back-to-back World Cup champions. But with many matches still to be played, football fans should expect more twists, shocks, and unforgettable moments before the trophy is finally lifted.


My Prediction: Argentina will win the FIFA World Cup 2026.


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